Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 195.112463 227.555280 265.262491 312.704343 371.332590 442.111989 5.351024e+02
2025-07-20 159.843225 202.516876 257.739693 335.987148 446.610752 601.599565 8.431105e+02
2025-07-27 135.047367 180.473346 243.556853 340.514800 491.436544 727.936002 1.150342e+03
2025-08-03 119.721843 166.880161 236.184201 350.106944 542.639797 875.960521 1.552556e+03
2025-08-10 106.460863 153.433117 225.669462 351.151784 578.493687 1007.972031 1.988510e+03
2025-08-17 97.021576 144.018282 219.284139 356.783311 622.648288 1169.107795 2.574323e+03
2025-08-24 88.003991 133.847378 209.783616 354.550365 650.697050 1306.983316 3.192658e+03
2025-08-31 80.884131 125.765079 202.437712 354.524270 682.753922 1465.622276 3.984416e+03
2025-09-07 75.509087 119.902083 198.020946 359.083488 725.680900 1668.269834 5.090657e+03
2025-09-14 68.151596 109.763141 184.473119 342.651920 716.318925 1730.133888 5.758006e+03
2025-09-21 63.782162 104.455243 179.239371 342.695116 746.696839 1918.650081 7.150543e+03
2025-09-28 60.118309 100.032293 175.113018 344.359222 781.751114 2139.328210 8.995367e+03
2025-10-05 58.615545 99.887293 180.246277 370.181638 896.618864 2719.900492 1.411403e+04
2025-10-12 57.212386 99.838780 185.759855 398.928566 1034.828851 3518.482114 2.354651e+04
2025-10-19 53.988933 95.826316 182.287608 404.548023 1105.150314 4110.552321 3.422638e+04
2025-10-26 51.575945 93.148052 181.299531 416.471922 1202.723056 4944.669418 5.371069e+04
2025-11-02 48.675540 89.147870 176.773846 417.771902 1264.201454 5672.437139 7.946491e+04
2025-11-09 46.423977 86.265401 174.418913 424.782432 1351.951510 6690.403462 1.283003e+05
2025-11-16 43.810957 82.351289 169.115720 422.001928 1400.155642 7533.450927 1.944365e+05
2025-11-23 41.595218 79.089157 164.977378 421.969441 1461.565213 8599.131439 3.158917e+05
2025-11-30 39.865979 76.734293 162.775839 427.647708 1553.331298 10125.051389 5.895386e+05
2025-12-07 37.017078 71.641375 153.123378 407.202967 1511.721168 10342.788251 7.680271e+05
2025-12-14 35.364444 69.122850 149.779262 407.256640 1574.327030 11810.143165 1.474173e+06